Pre-tourney Rankings
Weber St.
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#184
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#196
Pace64.2#264
Improvement+1.0#119

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#91
First Shot+6.5#31
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#346
Layup/Dunks+0.6#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#43
Freethrows+1.8#60
Improvement+4.4#15

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#281
First Shot-2.3#242
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#305
Layups/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#21
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-3.3#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 292   @ Pepperdine L 68-69 68%     0 - 1 -6.7 -10.3 +3.6
  Nov 17, 2016 95   @ Stanford L 49-67 22%     0 - 2 -10.7 -17.0 +5.5
  Nov 24, 2016 213   UC Davis W 86-58 59%     1 - 2 +24.7 +21.7 +5.2
  Nov 25, 2016 127   Iona L 54-76 39%     1 - 3 -20.1 -10.9 -12.9
  Nov 26, 2016 125   Buffalo L 72-74 38%     1 - 4 +0.1 +0.4 -0.3
  Dec 03, 2016 194   Denver L 55-57 62%     1 - 5 -6.2 -16.6 +10.1
  Dec 07, 2016 74   @ BYU L 66-77 15%     1 - 6 -0.9 +0.4 -1.6
  Dec 17, 2016 190   Utah Valley W 93-85 61%     2 - 6 +4.1 +17.1 -13.3
  Dec 21, 2016 121   @ Utah St. W 77-71 29%     3 - 6 +10.9 +12.8 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2016 243   @ Montana St. W 87-75 56%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +9.6 +18.8 -8.2
  Dec 31, 2016 198   @ Montana W 84-81 OT 45%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +3.4 +15.0 -11.4
  Jan 12, 2017 221   Idaho W 91-66 70%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +18.7 +21.0 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2017 186   Eastern Washington W 70-67 60%     7 - 6 4 - 0 -0.6 +1.6 -1.8
  Jan 19, 2017 172   @ North Dakota L 77-83 38%     7 - 7 4 - 1 -3.7 +4.6 -8.2
  Jan 21, 2017 284   @ Northern Colorado W 74-69 66%     8 - 7 5 - 1 -0.2 +0.9 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2017 332   @ Idaho St. W 85-73 81%     9 - 7 6 - 1 +1.6 +4.4 -2.8
  Jan 27, 2017 332   Idaho St. W 96-74 91%     10 - 7 7 - 1 +6.5 +12.8 -6.4
  Feb 02, 2017 334   Southern Utah W 90-74 91%     11 - 7 8 - 1 +0.1 +10.2 -9.1
  Feb 04, 2017 323   Northern Arizona W 86-80 87%     12 - 7 9 - 1 -7.3 +3.4 -11.0
  Feb 09, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. L 74-77 66%     12 - 8 9 - 2 -8.2 +5.4 -14.0
  Feb 11, 2017 250   @ Portland St. W 96-93 OT 57%     13 - 8 10 - 2 +0.2 +6.1 -6.2
  Feb 16, 2017 284   Northern Colorado W 69-63 81%     14 - 8 11 - 2 -4.3 +1.9 -5.5
  Feb 18, 2017 172   North Dakota L 68-77 57%     14 - 9 11 - 3 -11.7 -6.5 -5.1
  Feb 23, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington L 72-82 41%     14 - 10 11 - 4 -8.5 +1.0 -10.1
  Feb 25, 2017 221   @ Idaho L 78-83 OT 51%     14 - 11 11 - 5 -6.3 +1.4 -7.4
  Mar 02, 2017 198   Montana L 74-78 64%     14 - 12 11 - 6 -8.7 +0.5 -9.3
  Mar 04, 2017 243   Montana St. W 76-67 73%     15 - 12 12 - 6 +1.6 +1.6 +0.3
  Mar 09, 2017 334   Southern Utah W 90-70 87%     16 - 12 +6.7 +15.8 -7.0
  Mar 10, 2017 186   Eastern Washington W 80-72 50%     17 - 12 +7.0 +7.2 +0.1
  Mar 11, 2017 172   North Dakota L 89-93 OT 47%     17 - 13 -4.2 +8.7 -12.5
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%